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Chinese Economic Reform. How Far, How Fast? by Bruce L. Reynolds

By Bruce L. Reynolds

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MONEY AND PRICES IN CHINA 35 T o i n v e s t i g a t e t h e d e m a n d for m o n e y , w e t a k e n a t u r a l l o g a r i t h m s o f b o t h sides o f E q . (2) a n d e x p l a i n \n(M/P) b y In y i n t h e f o l l o w i n g r e g r e s s i o n u s i n g a n n u a l d a t a from 1952 t o 1983, \n(M/P) = - 3 . 7847 w h e r e t h e s t a n d a r d e r r o r s o f t h e r e g r e s s i o n coefficients a r e p u t i n p a r e n t h e s e s , s s t a n d s for t h e s t a n d a r d e r r o r o f t h e r e g r e s s i o n , a n d D W for t h e D u r b i n W a t s o n statistic.

Polit. Econ. 93, 4:782-792, August 1985a. " The Amer. Statistician 40, 3:191-196, August 1986. " Science, 295299, January 16, 1987. " / Polit. Econ. 74, 2: 111-131, April 1966. Chow, Gregory C , The Chinese Economy. New York: Harper & Row, 1985b. , and Granger, C. W. " Econometrica 5 5 , 2:251-276, March. State Statistics Bureau of the People's Republic of China, Statistical Yearbook of China, 1981; 1984; 1985. Hong Kong: Economic Information & Agency, 1982, 1985, 1986. JOURNAL OF COMPARATIVE ECONOMICS 11, 334-353 (1987) Macroeconomic Policy and Response in the Chinese Economy: The Impact of the Reform Process BARRY NAUGHTON 1 University of Oregon, Eugene, Oregon 97403 Naughton, Barry—Macroeconomic Policy and Response in the Chinese Economy: The Impact of the Reform Process The paper presents a macroeconomic model of the Chinese economy, which is then used to estimate a household saving function for 1957-1978, showing a 3% saving rate.

After b o t h t e r m s a r e d r o p p e d , w e a r e left w i t h Δ In Ρ-1 a n d t h e e r r o r correction term in ( 1 8 A ) , b o t h b e i n g significant. T h e l o n g - r u n effect o f MONEY AND PRICES IN CHINA \n(M/y) 41 o n In Ρ i m p l i c i t i n ( 1 8 A ) is still g i v e n b y t h e coefficient 0 . 6 3 3 4 o f E q . ( 6 A ) . x) a n d can be rewritten as y - ( \ + ß - τ)Λ-ι + ßyt-i (19) = ycoc-i, w h i c h i m p l i e s a l o n g - r u n r e l a t i o n s h i p y y = y ax o r y = αχ.

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